The wisdom of experience from Howard Marks Investing without People
Lessons from Cliff Asness by Tren Griffin
Pretty Soon, You'll Get to Invest Just Like Ray Dalio His approach has a lot of variations but isn’t foolproof
Superforecasting
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock
How to Become a Superforecaster
Measuring Risk Aversion
Measuring the Fabric of Felicity by Elm Partners
Reflections on the Mega Millions Lottery: Can a Lottery Ticket with Great Odds Still be a Bad Bet?
Expected Value versus Expected Utility function??? not accounting for behavioural loss bias still?
...Expected Utility puts weights on the almost-certain loss versus the almost-impossible huge gain in a way that is both intuitively appealing (to us, at least) and theoretically sound