The wisdom of experience from Howard Marks [Investing without People](https://knowen-production.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/attachment/file/2029/investing-without-people%2B--Howard%2BMarks.pdf)

[Lessons from Cliff Asness](https://25iq.com/2018/06/30/lessons-from-cliff-asness/) by Tren Griffin

[Pretty Soon, You'll Get to Invest Just Like Ray Dalio](https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-07-11/ray-dalio-s-risk-parity-strategy-comes-to-the-masses) His approach has a lot of variations but isn’t foolproof

## Superforecasting

[Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction](https://www.amazon.com/Superforecasting-Science-Prediction-Philip-Tetlock-ebook/dp/B00RKO6MS8/ref=tmm_kin_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=)  by Philip E. Tetlock 

[How to Become a Superforecaster](https://danielmiessler.com/blog/how-to-be-a-super-forecaster/)

## Measuring Risk Aversion

[Measuring the Fabric of Felicity](https://elmfunds.com/measuring-the-fabric-of-felicity/) by Elm Partners

[Reflections on the Mega Millions Lottery: Can a Lottery Ticket with Great Odds Still be a Bad Bet?](https://elmfunds.com/reflections-on-the-lottery/)
Expected Value versus Expected Utility function??? not accounting for behavioural loss bias still?
> ...Expected Utility puts weights on the almost-certain loss versus the almost-impossible huge gain in a way that is both intuitively appealing (to us, at least) and theoretically sound