Jason Dana, Pavel Atanasov, Philip Tetlock, Barbara Mellers
Furthermore, the combination of approaches was significantly more accurate than prediction-market prices alone, indicating that self-reports contained information that the market did not efficiently aggregate. Combining measurement techniques across behavioral and social sciences may have greater benefits than previously thought
## [Are markets more accurate than polls? The surprising informational value of “just asking”](http://journal.sjdm.org/18/18919/jdm18919.pdf)
Jason Dana, Pavel Atanasov, **Philip Tetlock**, Barbara Mellers
> Furthermore, the combination of approaches was significantly more accurate than prediction-market prices alone, indicating that self-reports contained information that the market did not efficiently aggregate. Combining measurement techniques across behavioral and social sciences may have greater benefits than previously thought
[Groups of diverse problem solvers can outperform groups of high-ability problem solvers](https://www.pnas.org/content/pnas/101/46/16385.full.pdf)
- 1988 article [How Uselul Is the Sentiment Index?](https://knowen-production.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/attachment/file/4522/HowusefulsentimentFAJ.pdf)
## [The Power of Social Media Polls: The Drill-Down on 3 Platforms + 5 General Best Practices](https://www.toprankblog.com/2018/07/power-social-media-polls/)