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# Narratives and Uncertainty


[The Economic Drivers of Volatility and Uncertainty](https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3680515)
> Specifically, the total volatility of macroeconomic variables is first decomposed into two separate components: an idiosyncratic component, and a component common to all of the variables. Then, the common volatility component, often interpreted as a measure of uncertainty

- Taylor Pearson

https://medium.com/the-mission/the-ooda-loop-how-to-turn-uncertainty-into-opportunity-6b07dc8a40fd


- [winning work on visual reasoning strategies with uncertainty visualizations](http://users.eecs.northwestern.edu/~jhullman/index.html)

## Uncertainty⏎
⏎
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Knight
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G._L._S._Shackle
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Maynard_Keynes
⏎
## https://www.amazon.com/Risk-Science-Politics-Fear-Gardner/dp/0753515539

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/09/06/magazine/steven-pinker-interview.html

https://mitpress.mit.edu/books/atlas-forecasts

# Parents

* Daniel Kahneman