- Josh Wolfe [A core philosophy I hold is“RANDOMNESS & OPTIONALITY” ](https://threader.app/thread/1228349367708475395)

- https://future.a16z.com/question/future-of-expertise/

- Byrne Hobart

[The Startling Convexity of Expertise](https://medium.com/@byrnehobart/the-startling-convexity-of-expertise-5058e90a6c19) 
[Sin, Secret, Series A](https://medium.com/@byrnehobart/sin-secret-series-a-4046aedf8e75)
[Optionality is for Innumerate Cowards](https://medium.com/@byrnehobart/optionality-is-for-innumerate-cowards-f2c5a759b607)... [and pdf](https://knowen-production.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/attachment/file/4617/Optionality%2Bis%2Bfor%2BInnumerate%2BCowards%2B-%2BByrne%2BHobart%2B-%2BMedium.pdf)
[Bundling, Distribution, The convexity of knowledge](https://diff.substack.com/p/newsletters-and-new-media-economics)

- [The Psychology of Prediction](https://www.collaborativefund.com/blog/the-psychology-of-prediction/) Dec 20, 2019 by Morgan Housel

- tech paper [From Probability to Consilience: How Explanatory Values Implement Bayesian Reasoning](https://arxiv.org/abs/2006.02359) by Zachary Wojtowicz, Simon DeDeo

- why optionality and complexity in life and politics?

For instance, in politics, "anything goes" politician (Trump?) has advantage from the game theory and additional optionality perspective. Such a politician has "asymmetric power". This is also an answer to Bob Laughlin, who complaints that the business world is badly intentioned and artificially complicated. See [Business Models](https://knowen.org/nodes/25623)  and [The Value of Information](https://knowen.org/nodes/26413)